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Oddity Tech's 85% Collapse Has Created a Contrarian Buying Opportunity

The stock has crashed 85%, but the business may be more resilient than the market thinks.

Beauty and wellness companies rarely become controversial investment stories. Oddity Tech $ODD ( â–Ľ 0.84% ) has managed to do exactly that. The company built one of the most interesting digital-first beauty platforms of the past decade, combining direct-to-consumer sales with heavy data science, personalization tools, and algorithm-driven product matching. For years that strategy worked extremely well. But recently, something changed.

Oddity’s user acquisition costs spiked unexpectedly following changes in Meta Platforms $META ( ▼ 0.36% ) ad delivery algorithms. Because the company relies heavily on paid digital advertising to acquire customers, that disruption raised an uncomfortable question: how resilient is a business model that depends on a single advertising platform? As you can see below, the market’s response has been severe.

$ODD ( â–Ľ 0.84% ) shares plunge following Q1 revenue guidance

Shares are now down roughly 85% from their 2025 highs, pushing the company’s valuation close to the level of its balance sheet. That type of collapse forces investors to ask a different question. Is the business breaking, or is the market overreacting to a temporary disruption? Let’s see what’s going on.

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