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The Market Grows Up
Dow records and tech resets point to a more selective bull phase.

The Year-End Moves No One’s Watching
Markets don’t wait — and year-end waits even less.
In the final stretch, money rotates, funds window-dress, tax-loss selling meets bottom-fishing, and “Santa Rally” chatter turns into real tape. Most people notice after the move.
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👋 ICYMI
Markets sent a mixed but telling signal last week. The Dow Jones Industrial Average pushed to fresh record highs, driven by strength in financials, industrials, and energy, while the Nasdaq fell sharply, weighed down by renewed selling in high-multiple tech and AI names.
🔁 Market Movers
🏗️ Dow Hits New Highs as Old-Economy Stocks Lead
Industrials, banks, and energy stocks lifted the Dow to record levels, reflecting renewed confidence in cash-flow-generating, rate-resilient businesses. Investors rotated toward companies with pricing power and balance-sheet visibility.
📉 Nasdaq Slides on Tech De-Risking
Growth and AI-linked stocks came under pressure as investors trimmed exposure to crowded trades. The move looked less like panic and more like valuation discipline returning to the market.
😌Volatility Index Falls Even as Nasdaq Slides
The VIX declined despite weakness in tech stocks, suggesting investors see the move as rotation rather than systemic risk.
🛢️Energy Holds Firm as Oil Stays Supported
Energy stocks continued to outperform as crude prices remained resilient. Strong cash generation and capital discipline kept investors engaged despite broader equity volatility.
👀 Signals I’m Watching
🔄 Rotation, Not Risk Exit
Money isn’t leaving equities — it’s moving within them. Dow strength alongside Nasdaq weakness usually signals late-cycle positioning, not the start of a bear market.
💼 Hiring Freezes Over Layoffs
Corporate commentary continues to point to paused hiring rather than aggressive cuts, supporting a slower-growth but not recessionary outlook.
European equities — especially automakers and industrials — rose last week as global rate-cut hopes improved, suggesting cyclicals may benefit if global growth stabilizes.
🛍️Consumer Spending Still Defies Soft Sentiment
High-frequency data shows U.S. consumers continuing to spend into December despite weak confidence surveys — a divergence that often supports near-term earnings.
💰 Cash Is Quietly Re-Entering Money Markets
Money-market fund assets reached record highs as investors parked capital while waiting for clarity on rates and leadership. This often precedes redeployment.

Portfolio Performance — Past Twelve Months
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⚠️ Red Flag to Note
Narrow Leadership Risk
While the Dow is making new highs, market participation remains uneven. If rotation stalls without tech finding a floor, indexes could lose momentum quickly. A healthy market eventually needs more than one lane open.
🔍 Insider Transactions I’m Watching
Ticker | Insider | Action | Value | Why It Matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Brett McGill — CEO & Director | Buy | ~$490K | CEO open-market purchase in a deeply cyclical industrial name during a rotation away from tech. | |
Helen Shan — EVP & CFO | Buy | ~$102K | CFO buying during market volatility is notable | |
Samsara BioCapital (Director) | Buy | ~$14.4M | Large, multi-day accumulation by a specialist biotech fund with board representation. |
→✨NEW ✨ My framework for reading insider moves — when buy signals outweigh noise (and when they don’t)
📬 Closing Note
Last week wasn’t about fear — it was about choice. Investors are choosing cash flow over stories, balance sheets over promises, and resilience over reach. Markets can still move higher from here, but leadership will matter more than momentum. Stay selective, respect rotation, and don’t confuse volatility with danger.
Until next Sunday —
George

