- The Latte
- Posts
- The Rally Gets Smarter
The Rally Gets Smarter
Cooler inflation, selective AI buying, and why fundamentals are back in focus.


Receive Honest News Today
Join over 4 million Americans who start their day with 1440 β your daily digest for unbiased, fact-centric news. From politics to sports, we cover it all by analyzing over 100 sources. Our concise, 5-minute read lands in your inbox each morning at no cost. Experience news without the noise; let 1440 help you make up your own mind. Sign up now and invite your friends and family to be part of the informed.
π ICYMI
U.S. markets ended the week on a generally positive note after cooler-than-expected inflation readings and strong tech earnings reports. The Nasdaq rallied midweek alongside major AI and semiconductor names after blowout data from Micron $MU ( β² 6.99% ) and broader optimism about AI demand. Meanwhile, the Dow logged gains led by financials and cyclicals, extending a year-end rebound as investors absorbed mixed macro signals ahead of the final Federal Reserve policy meeting of 2025.
π Market Movers
π» Tech Rebounds on AI Demand
Micron reported strong forecasts and data-center memory demand, helping lift AI-related sectors and propelling the Nasdaq higher later in the week.
π Dow & S&P Gain on Broad Participation
Goldman Sachs $GS ( β² 1.96% ) , Cisco $CSCO ( β² 1.91% ) , Boeing $BA ( β² 2.79% ) and other large names helped fuel gains in the Dow and S&P 500 as investors embraced stronger earnings and seasonal optimism.
π Early Week Drag from AI Jitters
π Global Markets Move Higher
European benchmarks like the FTSE 100 echoed the U.S. tech rebound, buoyed by risk-on sentiment even as some retail data disappointed.
π Signals Iβm Watching
β¬οΈ Inflation Showing Signs of Peeling Back
CPI data for November came in cooler than expected, lifting sentiment on rate expectations and potentially supporting further modest easing in 2026.
π€ AI Momentum Isnβt Dead β It Just Paused
After mid-week weakness, AI and semiconductor stocks rebounded on strong earnings signals, implying continued structural demand for AI infrastructure into 2026.
π― Investors Turn Selective Within AI β Not Exiting It
Investors are no longer buying the AI theme indiscriminately. Capital is rotating within AI β toward profitable infrastructure, chips, and software with visible cash flows β while high-multiple, story-driven names are seeing trims. This shift suggests the AI trade is maturing, not ending, and rewards fundamentals over hype.
π Treasury Yields Reflect Policy Uncertainty
Bond yields rose modestly later in the week as markets digested inflation data and the Bank of Japanβs rate increase, underscoring that global policy pushes still matter.

Portfolio Performance β Past Twelve Months
π«Want to join our Premium Investment Club?
πGet real-time insights, personal portfolio updates, direct access to our private community, and the full archive of The Latte β including all stock ideas and deep dives.
β°A limited number of new premium spots are open until year-end.
π Join our Club hereπΈβ¨
β οΈ Red Flag to Note
Stagflation Risk Still in the Backdrop
Some economists warn that lingering inflation and slowing growth could create a stagflationary drag that complicates future rate cuts and market momentum β a risk markets are not fully pricing.
π Insider Transactions Iβm Watching
Ticker | Insider | Action | Value | Why It Matters |
|---|---|---|---|---|
David Byron Jr. Smith (Director) | Buy | ~$1.68M | A large open-market purchase by a senior director in Illinois Tool Works hints at confidence in industrial demand and cyclical resilience. | |
Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. (10% owner) | Buy | ~$9.4M | A major shareholder boosting its NextDecade stake aggressively signals conviction in LNG growth despite price volatility. | |
Victoria Valenzuela (Director) | Sell | ~$5.0M | A meaningful sale from a director at AppLovin after recent stock rally may reflect diversification or valuation discipline. |
ββ¨NEW β¨ My framework for reading insider moves β when buy signals outweigh noise (and when they donβt)
π IPO Watch
π Upcoming IPOs to Watch
π₯Lumexa Imaging: Healthcare services provider Lumexa priced its IPO, adding to a modest December pipeline focused on cash-generating, non-speculative businesses.
π Key Names on Watch (2026)
π°οΈSpaceX / Starlink IPO: Reports say SpaceX is laying groundwork for a potential 2026 IPO, likely centered on Starlink β a deal that could redefine the tech IPO landscape if it moves forward.
π¬ Closing Note
This week showed that markets still respond to fundamentals β inflation data, earnings strength, and policy signals β even in a late-cycle environment. Tech dips can correct, yields can adjust, and policy risks remain. But with growth cues intact and investor appetite stabilising, selective positioning into resilient sectors and structural themes can pay off. Stay disciplined, watch the signals, and be ready for the opportunities that 2026 could bring.
Until next Sunday β
George

