The Rally Gets Smarter

Cooler inflation, selective AI buying, and why fundamentals are back in focus.

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πŸ‘‹ ICYMI

U.S. markets ended the week on a generally positive note after cooler-than-expected inflation readings and strong tech earnings reports. The Nasdaq rallied midweek alongside major AI and semiconductor names after blowout data from Micron $MU ( β–² 6.99% ) and broader optimism about AI demand. Meanwhile, the Dow logged gains led by financials and cyclicals, extending a year-end rebound as investors absorbed mixed macro signals ahead of the final Federal Reserve policy meeting of 2025.

πŸ” Market Movers

πŸ‘€ Signals I’m Watching

Portfolio Performance β€” Past Twelve Months

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⚠️ Red Flag to Note

Stagflation Risk Still in the Backdrop

Some economists warn that lingering inflation and slowing growth could create a stagflationary drag that complicates future rate cuts and market momentum β€” a risk markets are not fully pricing.

πŸ” Insider Transactions I’m Watching

Ticker

Insider

Action

Value

Why It Matters

$ITW ( β–Ό 0.41% )  

David Byron Jr. Smith (Director)

Buy

~$1.68M

A large open-market purchase by a senior director in Illinois Tool Works hints at confidence in industrial demand and cyclical resilience.  

$NEXT ( β–² 3.99% )  

Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. (10% owner)

Buy

~$9.4M

A major shareholder boosting its NextDecade stake aggressively signals conviction in LNG growth despite price volatility.

$APP ( β–² 3.89% )  

Victoria Valenzuela (Director)

Sell

~$5.0M

A meaningful sale from a director at AppLovin after recent stock rally may reflect diversification or valuation discipline.

πŸš€ IPO Watch

πŸ“… Upcoming IPOs to Watch

πŸ₯Lumexa Imaging: Healthcare services provider Lumexa priced its IPO, adding to a modest December pipeline focused on cash-generating, non-speculative businesses.

πŸ”Ž Key Names on Watch (2026)

πŸ›°οΈSpaceX / Starlink IPO: Reports say SpaceX is laying groundwork for a potential 2026 IPO, likely centered on Starlink β€” a deal that could redefine the tech IPO landscape if it moves forward.

πŸ“¬ Closing Note

This week showed that markets still respond to fundamentals β€” inflation data, earnings strength, and policy signals β€” even in a late-cycle environment. Tech dips can correct, yields can adjust, and policy risks remain. But with growth cues intact and investor appetite stabilising, selective positioning into resilient sectors and structural themes can pay off. Stay disciplined, watch the signals, and be ready for the opportunities that 2026 could bring.

Until next Sunday β€”

George